Donald Trump has won the Nevada Republican caucuses, giving
the billionaire his third victory in two weeks and a huge surge of momentum
heading into Super Tuesday.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio held a narrow but decisive lead for
second place over Texas Sen. Ted Cruz. With 99 percent of the caucus vote in,
Rubio had 23.8 percent to Cruz's 21.4 percent, according to the Associated
Press.
But it was Trump who towered above his two top rivals,
nearly doubling the support of his nearest competitor with 45.9 percent of the
vote.
"If you listen to the pundits we weren't expected to
win too much, and now we're winning, winning, winning the country," Trump
declared shortly after returns came in. "And soon the country is going to
start winning, winning, winning."
The real estate mogul, whose name adorns a glistening hotel
along the Las Vegas Strip, was the heavy favorite heading into the Silver State
vote. His win follows triumphs in New Hampshire and South Carolina. No
candidate who has won both those states has not gone on to be the GOP nominee.
At stake in Nevada were 30 delegates, which will be awarded
both proportionally based on the at-large statewide vote and by who wins the
state's four congressional districts.
On Tuesday night Trump already had his eye on the calendar
ahead, boasting as he declared victory that he was creeping up in the polls in
Texas, which votes in next week's Super Tuesday contest — a not-so-subtle dig
at Cruz. And with his eye on Rubio and Ohio Gov. John Kasich, Trump also noted
he's on top of polls in Florida and Ohio, which hold their primaries on March
15.
It's becoming increasingly difficult for any candidate to
consolidate the type of support they need to topple Trump. Entrance polls showed
a breadth of support for the former reality-TV star from across the board, and
he was once again the main beneficiary of a frustrated electorate which is
hungry for an outsider candidate. Fifty-eight percent of Nevada caucus-goers
said they were angry with the federal government, much higher than in Iowa (42
percent), South Carolina (40 percent) or New Hampshire (39 percent.)
Sixty-one percent said they wanted someone in the White
House from outside the political establishment, while just 33 percent backed
someone with government experience. In the three previous states, voters were
more evenly split.
Cruz seemed to raise his campaign's expectations as he took
the stage in Las Vegas. Repeating again that he was the only candidate so far
to best Trump — in Iowa — Cruz declared that Super Tuesday, now less than one
week away, "Will be the most important night of this campaign."
But while the Texas senator sees more fertile ground ahead,
Cruz has lately failed to win several voting blocs crucial to his campaign.
Trump captured evangelical voters over Cruz in South
Carolina this past Saturday. In Nevada a smaller number of voters described
themselves as born-again Christians (39 percent), but Trump again won those
voters, this time with a 15-point margin over Cruz.
Trump carried voters across the GOP's ideological spectrum,
winning self-described "very conservative" voters by four points over
Cruz, "somewhat conservative" voters by 23 points over Rubio and
"moderate" voters by 26 points.
Trump has taken heat for controversial comments he's made
about immigrants and Muslims, but was still victorious in the first primary or
caucus state with a more diverse electorate. Latino voters made up 8 percent of
the Republican caucuses (up from just 5 percent four years ago); Trump carried
those voters by a 17-point margin over Rubio.
As has been the case in other contests, Trump did
particularly well with older, less-educated voters. Among voters 65 and over,
who made up a third of Nevada Republican caucus-goers, Trump more than doubled
Rubio's support, winning 51 percent to 25 percent.
The biggest gap was between voters whose education did not
go beyond high school — Trump won those voters by a 37-point margin over Cruz.
"I love the poorly-educated," Trump declared in
his victory speech.
